Romney will walk away with the win by a 5 – 7 pt margin. Paul is too scary for main stream voters — too many way off comments that make him look un-electable in a General election. Santorum continues to be the anti-Romney candidate. Acceptable to the Republican establishment and the favorite of the Evangelical voters who will be a strong force in at the caucus’ tomorrow. All three will have a ticket out of Iowa as they head toward the Primary in New Hampshire.
Perry is putting on a full court press on the aground assualt with fellow Governors Sam Brownback, and Bobby Jindal visiting the state to drum up support for their guy. If he does well and gets a respectable 4th place showing, Perry will be on to New Hampshire as well. Otherwise he heads back home to Texas to watch some bowl games!
Michelle Bachmann starting the campaign season with excite but has struggled to carry that passion though the last few months. Without a surprising finish in Iowa, she will be forced to drop out and urge her small but excited base to flock to another candidate that shares he conservative credentials Could be a boost for Santorum or Perry if he is still in the game.
Jon Huntsman has focused on New Hampshire so one would expect him to continue on the Granite State to make his last stand
Newt Gingrich has down, up and now back down. Without something to spark the enthusiasm about his campaign,he is probably done immediately after New Hampshire if not before. He has some of the same elect-ability issues that surround Ron Paul. His private life and career does not match the narrative that he is trying to sell. Not many are buying it!
Buddy Roemer’s campaign has not generate much enthusiasm. There does not seem to be a path for him to get to the nomination with the fundraising that will be needed to overcome a slow start in Iowa.